Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.188160 0.217273 0.250872 0.292858 0.344406 0.406261 0.487076
2025-03-16 0.140375 0.175944 0.221762 0.286487 0.377914 0.506268 0.707494
2025-03-23 0.117148 0.155996 0.210374 0.295055 0.429606 0.646948 1.053360
2025-03-30 0.098276 0.136641 0.193686 0.289296 0.455981 0.758564 1.420956
2025-04-06 0.086925 0.125391 0.185659 0.293520 0.498435 0.915084 1.989715
2025-04-13 0.076865 0.114116 0.174945 0.289764 0.524201 1.050686 2.634267
2025-04-20 0.070338 0.107298 0.170079 0.294905 0.568921 1.251842 3.692844
2025-04-27 0.065362 0.102219 0.167159 0.302792 0.622336 1.507877 5.334106
2025-05-04 0.060982 0.097499 0.163980 0.309221 0.674908 1.799538 7.746252
2025-05-11 0.057443 0.093763 0.161974 0.317608 0.736168 2.170077 11.701683
2025-05-18 0.053882 0.089524 0.158278 0.321250 0.786359 2.549823 17.403314
2025-05-25 0.050611 0.085435 0.154255 0.323191 0.832946 2.967188 26.188206
2025-06-01 0.047315 0.081018 0.149093 0.321642 0.870210 3.400176 39.751707
2025-06-08 0.043976 0.076195 0.142467 0.315043 0.888898 3.774085 58.476945
2025-06-15 0.042205 0.074304 0.141983 0.324922 0.973031 4.673635 117.267247
2025-06-22 0.039500 0.070247 0.136106 0.318453 0.991998 5.189570 192.609806
2025-06-29 0.037780 0.068056 0.134232 0.323254 1.061055 6.248858 445.005482
2025-07-06 0.035681 0.064882 0.129658 0.319004 1.089557 7.049619 958.143494
2025-07-13 0.034332 0.063180 0.128398 0.324830 1.169552 8.624929 3961.816924
2025-07-20 0.033243 0.061937 0.128101 0.333773 1.272474 10.904922 58865.204256
2025-07-27 0.032145 0.060575 0.127334 0.341069 1.373751 13.725833 NaN
2025-08-03 0.031217 0.059508 0.127190 0.350595 1.497203 17.808492 NaN
2025-08-10 0.030119 0.057965 0.125620 0.354736 1.593290 22.251308 NaN